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Red115
288353.1
329343.6
466531.1
Blue117
181654.8
313053.3
392618.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13013480100120160180200220115117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#16
53.10.3
54.554.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
54.80.2
56.356.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3293
#10
43.60.4
45.345.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
53.30.2
54.854.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4665
#40
31.10.4
32.832.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
3926
#24
18.60.3
20.620.3
Auto
Teleop
End