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Red117
453639.7
320225.4
270556.7
Blue133
222715.8
331346.9
205259.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211236080100140160180200117133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.1
56.856.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
59.50.2
59.359.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
39.70.1
39.839.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
3313
#19
46.90.2
46.746.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3202
#41
25.40.1
25.525.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
2227
#54
15.80.2
15.615.8
Auto
Teleop
End