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Red108
218141.9
249843.9
308229.7
Blue47
252926.0
340722.3
375121.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12063020030040010847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.1
42.542.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
2529
#12
26.00.5
26.826.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.90.1
40.440.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.6
3407
#45
22.30.5
23.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3082
#55
29.70.1
28.328.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
3751
#11
21.50.5
22.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End