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Red225
270556.7
248026.2
308229.7
Blue64
417417.4
251122.0
331346.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799205015020022564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.77.2
46.053.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
3313
#19
46.91.3
47.045.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3082
#55
29.79.6
18.728.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
2511
#49
22.01.7
23.722.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2480
#35
26.29.6
16.626.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
4174
#31
17.41.7
19.117.4
Auto
Teleop
End