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Red13
375121.5
284617.1
426026.1
Blue125
270556.7
327624.1
250841.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378005010015013125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4260
#40
26.12.6
10.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.6
56.72.9
34.537.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3751
#11
21.52.6
16.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.3
41.74.3
18.022.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2846
#46
17.11.7
16.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
3276
#33
24.14.3
20.925.2
Auto
Teleop
End