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Red158
250012.8
205259.5
324422.9
Blue35
285520.9
305817.5
300741.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions784005010015020015835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.54.3
49.353.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
3007
#10
41.50.9
23.222.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3244
#16
22.97.1
17.724.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2855
#21
20.90.9
9.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#47
12.84.3
5.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
3058
#52
17.50.9
12.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End