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Red33
462614.5
474113.3
251122.0
Blue48
251827.3
454913.1
282511.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4142253035455055603348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2511
#49
22.00.7
15.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
2518
#22
27.30.3
23.724.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4626
#39
14.50.7
13.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4549
#26
13.10.3
7.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4741
#53
13.30.7
12.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2825
#60
11.80.5
10.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End