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Red46
251320.6
310018.1
465128.4
Blue31
223224.3
329212.4
426026.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434602060801004631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4651
#29
28.40.1
18.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4260
#40
26.11.1
13.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2513
#14
20.60.1
16.216.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
2232
#42
24.31.1
17.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3100
#50
18.10.1
10.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
3292
#23
12.41.1
13.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End