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Red32
374526.2
250929.6
421512.0
Blue36
218141.9
376527.8
417417.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4243253035405055603236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2509
#17
29.60.8
17.316.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
41.90.6
16.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
26.20.8
11.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3765
#32
27.80.6
16.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4215
#62
12.00.8
12.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
4174
#31
17.40.6
10.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End