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Red29
286130.7
222715.8
462614.5
Blue50
248026.2
375121.5
422919.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544101001502002502950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#30
30.71.9
28.526.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2480
#35
26.20.6
15.716.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2227
#54
15.81.9
10.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
3751
#11
21.50.6
14.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4626
#39
14.51.9
12.710.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
4229
#18
19.20.6
13.013.6
Auto
Teleop
End