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Red91
320225.4
250111.7
218141.9
Blue81
205259.5
417417.4
310018.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions428101001502009181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.93.6
15.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.6
59.50.3
54.755.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3202
#41
25.43.6
21.925.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
3100
#50
18.10.5
10.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2501
#59
11.73.6
10.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
4174
#31
17.40.5
9.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End