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Red118
250841.7
247034.8
250012.8
Blue136
249843.9
465128.4
250233.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676820406080100120140118136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.74.1
29.633.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
43.95.9
20.126.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2470
#28
34.82.5
28.130.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2502
#13
33.53.5
27.030.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#47
12.82.5
10.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
4651
#29
28.45.9
18.624.5
Auto
Teleop
End