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Red104
298719.9
303834.7
324422.9
Blue53
465128.4
462614.5
284617.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7556010015010453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.72.5
29.632.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
4651
#29
28.40.5
27.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3244
#16
22.92.5
24.226.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2846
#46
17.10.3
17.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2987
#20
19.92.5
18.521.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
4626
#39
14.50.5
15.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End