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Red64
250012.8
318418.5
249843.9
Blue107
375121.5
270556.7
499313.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7279010020030040064107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.7
42.141.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
56.71.4
44.646.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3184
#24
18.50.5
17.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
3751
#11
21.52.1
22.424.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#47
12.80.5
13.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
4993
#38
13.22.1
11.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End