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Red157
218141.9
308229.7
249843.9
Blue127
453639.7
270556.7
320225.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10911950150200157127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.9
42.343.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
56.70.2
55.555.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.91.0
40.241.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
39.70.2
38.338.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3082
#55
29.70.9
28.229.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
3202
#41
25.40.2
24.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End