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Red133
222715.8
205259.5
331346.9
Blue54
303834.7
250233.5
300741.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117119608010014016018020013354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.2
59.059.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
3007
#10
41.51.3
43.642.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3313
#19
46.90.2
46.446.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
34.71.3
36.735.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2227
#54
15.80.3
15.215.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
2502
#13
33.51.0
35.234.1
Auto
Teleop
End