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Red205
172329.0
11889.6
198696.5
Blue238
93546.6
177566.5
180667.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229170050100150200250300350400205238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.50.2
98.097.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.5
67.01.0
66.767.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
118
#1
89.60.2
91.190.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.1
66.51.1
66.267.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1723
#51
29.00.3
30.730.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.5
935
#29
46.61.1
46.347.4
Auto
Teleop
End