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Red107
256013.5
501333.0
198245.6
Blue86
199726.7
182554.4
317220.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8411505010015020025010786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#16
45.61.1
44.845.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
1825
#12
54.41.5
58.256.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5013
#15
33.01.1
31.933.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1997
#17
26.71.5
28.226.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2560
#42
13.51.1
12.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
3172
#13
20.71.5
23.822.4
Auto
Teleop
End