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Red131
176322.4
173066.7
287423.9
Blue138
526825.1
182731.4
181055.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113108050150200250300131138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.71.1
68.569.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
55.51.5
56.157.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2874
#33
23.91.1
22.723.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1827
#40
31.41.8
29.631.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1763
#48
22.41.1
21.322.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
5268
#41
25.11.8
23.325.1
Auto
Teleop
End