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Red116
93546.6
233519.8
180248.4
Blue145
177723.3
198696.5
200112.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108137050200250300116145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1802
#22
48.40.2
48.548.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 48.1
96.50.6
97.898.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
935
#29
46.60.2
44.444.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.3
1777
#32
23.30.8
22.523.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2335
#52
19.80.2
19.619.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
2001
#35
12.80.8
12.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End