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Red105
173066.7
200112.8
199415.4
Blue122
352863.5
464635.5
501333.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6467050100150105122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.73.4
35.939.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
63.54.6
33.938.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1994
#58
15.43.4
12.816.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.2
4646
#21
35.54.6
18.122.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2001
#35
12.83.4
16.119.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.2
5013
#15
33.04.6
14.519.2
Auto
Teleop
End