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Red133
352863.5
93727.3
512611.9
Blue54
241044.3
178526.0
235321.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676105010015020013354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3528
#6Sur
63.55.5
38.644.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
2410
#19Sur
44.30.7
29.428.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
937
#36
27.35.5
15.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1785
#25
26.00.7
14.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5126
#43
11.95.5
12.918.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
2353
#46
21.20.7
18.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End