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Red46
176428.8
241044.3
199415.4
Blue107
173066.7
184718.9
392850.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6310305015020025046107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2410
#19
44.31.9
28.826.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.4
66.70.8
48.849.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1764
#27
28.81.2
27.826.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.7
50.50.8
35.736.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1994
#58
15.41.9
12.610.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1847
#49
18.90.8
12.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End