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Red140
234535.4
452290.3
287423.9
Blue175
93727.3
216436.5
11889.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112121050150200250300350400140175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.31.3
71.672.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
118
#1
89.62.8
70.473.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2345
#20
35.42.2
26.228.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2164
#14
36.52.8
28.831.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2874
#33
23.92.2
15.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
937
#36
27.34.6
20.625.2
Auto
Teleop
End