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Red32
178526.0
508228.3
495927.3
Blue161
181055.5
198245.6
509820.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52105015020025032161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5082
#24
28.32.3
26.924.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.2
55.53.2
48.752.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4959
#30
27.32.3
13.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.3
1982
#16
45.65.4
29.434.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1785
#25
26.02.3
19.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
5098
#50
20.95.4
18.724.0
Auto
Teleop
End