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Red23
511924.7
512611.9
397324.4
Blue97
173721.7
518919.1
287423.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455901001502397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#10
24.72.0
19.617.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2874
#33
23.93.3
26.029.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3973
#34
24.42.0
14.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1737
#45
21.73.3
12.515.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5126
#43
11.92.0
12.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
5189
#38
19.13.3
18.521.8
Auto
Teleop
End