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Red11
182731.4
317220.7
256013.5
Blue123
511924.7
177566.5
178526.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310305015020025011123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1827
#40
31.45.6
28.523.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.2
66.52.1
60.462.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3172
#13
20.75.6
27.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1785
#25
26.02.1
20.322.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2560
#42
13.55.6
21.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
5119
#10
24.72.1
17.619.6
Auto
Teleop
End