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Red107
234535.4
180248.4
348518.5
Blue96
526825.1
173721.7
245743.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836405010015020010796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1802
#22
48.42.3
33.435.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2457
#28
43.52.3
37.639.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2345
#20
35.42.3
29.131.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
5268
#41
25.12.5
12.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3485
#37
18.52.1
17.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1737
#45
21.72.5
15.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End