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Red126
176936.4
198245.6
287423.9
Blue70
93221.2
241044.3
200112.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions897605010015020012670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#16
45.63.0
33.436.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2410
#19
44.30.7
38.637.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1769
#23
36.43.0
28.731.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
932
#57
21.20.7
25.524.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2874
#33
23.93.0
25.328.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
2001
#35
12.80.7
14.213.6
Auto
Teleop
End