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Red22
198417.3
509820.9
216733.1
Blue33
256013.5
199726.7
511924.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069204060801001201402233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2167
#26
33.13.7
29.325.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1997
#17
26.72.8
32.830.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5098
#50
20.93.7
27.623.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
5119
#10
24.72.8
19.616.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1984
#47
17.33.7
13.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2560
#42
13.52.8
16.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End