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Red150
182731.4
193940.2
216436.5
Blue117
48097.1
216733.1
176936.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102560150200150117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#39
40.22.8
36.339.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1769
#23
36.43.9
31.735.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2164
#14
36.52.8
32.835.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2167
#26
33.13.9
25.629.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1827
#40
31.44.0
25.229.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.3
4809
#54
7.13.9
5.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End