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Red176
182554.4
216733.1
178526.0
Blue157
392850.5
173721.7
172329.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049450150200176157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#12
54.44.9
53.358.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
50.54.1
50.454.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2167
#26
33.14.9
29.534.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1723
#51
29.04.1
27.531.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1785
#25
26.04.9
19.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1737
#45
21.74.1
17.621.7
Auto
Teleop
End