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Red193
193940.2
397324.4
352863.5
Blue207
452290.3
198245.6
445519.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107152050200250300350193207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.55.3
57.662.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.8
90.33.1
89.392.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1939
#39
40.23.9
39.143.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1982
#16
45.64.1
40.744.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3973
#34
24.45.3
17.422.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
4455
#31
19.14.1
15.019.1
Auto
Teleop
End