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Red33
234631.1
48097.1
512611.9
Blue84
509820.9
199726.7
234535.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539301502003384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2346
#44
31.11.8
36.134.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
2345
#20
35.40.2
35.335.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5126
#43
11.91.8
14.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
1997
#17
26.70.2
28.328.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4809
#54
7.11.8
9.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
5098
#50
20.90.2
23.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End