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Red106
234631.1
452290.3
173066.7
Blue164
180667.0
177566.5
93546.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203166050100250300350400106164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.31.5
93.091.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.4
67.00.1
64.364.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
66.71.7
69.768.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
66.50.1
63.563.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2346
#44
31.11.9
34.532.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
935
#29
46.60.1
43.643.5
Auto
Teleop
End