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Qual 112014 St. Louis Regional
Red123
500211.2
170646.5
425653.4
Blue53
415418.9
109439.1
424617.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11349010015020025012353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#2
53.41.0
48.5→49.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.3
1094
#22
39.10.3
29.8→29.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1706
#3
46.51.0
37.4→38.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.7
4154
#25
18.90.5
10.4→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5002
#39
11.21.7
16.7→18.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.6
4246
#41
17.80.5
18.4→18.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—