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Red118
266513.6
27934.6
170646.5
Blue38
240818.4
435621.7
450031.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9460015020025011838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.5
38.539.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
4500
#18
31.81.4
24.323.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
279
#6
34.62.4
35.738.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
4356
#30
21.72.3
24.422.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2665
#27
13.62.4
14.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
2408
#45
18.42.3
16.314.1
Auto
Teleop
End