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Red32
165843.5
433020.5
431413.3
Blue48
386816.1
440423.3
493113.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754101001502003248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1658
#12
43.53.1
34.231.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.1
4404
#26
23.30.1
19.619.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4330
#40
20.51.9
23.321.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
3868
#28
16.10.1
15.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4314
#34
13.33.1
12.18.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
4931
#16
13.50.1
11.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End