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Red101
440423.3
165843.5
297835.3
Blue72
170646.5
532617.4
424617.8
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787005010015010172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1658
#12
43.52.0
31.133.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
46.50.1
40.040.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.32.0
26.028.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
4246
#41
17.80.1
12.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4404
#26
23.32.0
19.721.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
5326
#35
17.40.1
18.818.9
Auto
Teleop
End