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Red82
333021.8
388517.3
432932.1
Blue16
144414.5
386816.1
423224.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50480204060801008216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#10
32.11.6
23.124.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
4232
#33
24.62.7
17.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3330
#20
21.82.7
12.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
3868
#28
16.12.7
15.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3885
#38
17.32.7
14.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1444
#42
14.52.7
15.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End