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Qual 382014 St. Louis Regional
Red80
435621.7
198557.7
432932.1
Blue96
450031.8
424617.8
379234.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1085801502008096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#5
57.71.0
53.2→52.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 23.2
3792
#11
34.52.5
30.4→33.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4329
#10
32.11.0
24.7→23.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
4500
#18
31.81.5
23.0→24.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4356
#30
21.71.7
22.1→20.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.9
4246
#41
17.82.5
12.2→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—