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Qual 542014 St. Louis Regional
Red26
500211.2
450031.8
418718.7
Blue101
93141.0
144414.5
165843.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4879020406010012014016026101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#18
31.81.3
26.3→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.6
1658
#12
43.52.1
32.6→34.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4187
#17
18.72.1
11.7→9.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 22.2
931
#7
41.02.1
30.2→32.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5002
#39
11.22.1
14.7→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.3
1444
#42
14.52.1
11.0→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—