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Red115
424617.8
333021.8
150160.8
Blue99
117812.7
402839.6
339727.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946805015011599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.81.9
54.956.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.2
4028
#19
39.62.1
33.435.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3330
#20
21.81.9
18.820.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
3397
#23
27.52.1
29.331.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4246
#41
17.81.9
16.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1178
#43
12.72.1
9.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End