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Red61
450031.8
278313.7
415613.6
Blue42
423224.6
109439.1
514716.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64622040801001206142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#18
31.80.1
26.626.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
1094
#22
39.11.0
30.829.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2783
#44
13.70.2
21.421.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
4232
#33
24.61.7
17.716.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4156
#29
13.60.2
15.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
5147
#37
16.13.8
16.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End