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Red97
109439.1
379234.5
517631.2
Blue100
415418.9
150160.8
165843.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210705015020097100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1094
#22
39.10.3
37.937.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.7
60.80.5
56.956.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3792
#11
34.50.4
37.336.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
1658
#12
43.50.5
34.734.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5176
#24
31.20.4
27.226.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
4154
#25
18.90.5
15.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End