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Red41
290219.6
266513.6
297835.3
Blue97
418718.7
517631.2
386816.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715302040801001201401604197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.31.8
35.733.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
5176
#24
31.22.7
26.829.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2902
#31
19.62.0
19.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
4187
#17
18.72.7
13.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2665
#27
13.61.8
13.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
3868
#28
16.12.7
15.117.9
Auto
Teleop
End