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Red29
506019.1
240818.4
402839.6
Blue87
290219.6
379234.5
493113.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674301001502987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#19
39.62.8
28.725.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
3792
#11
34.53.3
21.424.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5060
#32
19.12.8
15.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2902
#31
19.63.3
15.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2408
#45
18.42.8
19.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4931
#16
13.53.3
10.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End