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Red185
86951.9
192341.5
164060.8
Blue201
108958.7
19370.9
48447.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146178050100200250300350400185201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.80.6
59.860.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
193
#21
70.90.5
69.870.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
869
#51
51.90.6
50.951.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
58.70.5
57.558.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1923
#41
41.50.6
40.641.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
484
#23
47.00.5
45.946.3
Auto
Teleop
End