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Red216
164060.8
86951.9
192341.5
Blue172
19370.9
48447.0
108958.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148179050100200250300350400216172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.81.1
60.361.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
193
#21
70.90.0
70.270.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
869
#51
51.91.1
51.452.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
58.70.0
58.057.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1923
#41
41.51.1
41.142.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
484
#23
47.00.0
46.346.3
Auto
Teleop
End