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Red179
2558.1
162646.2
218058.7
Blue152
149525.9
34156.0
167649.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14312950100200250179152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.71.9
48.450.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
341
#40
56.01.0
58.559.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25
#16
58.11.9
54.256.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
1676
#38
49.11.0
50.751.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1626
#32
46.21.9
38.039.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.3
1495
#39
25.91.0
21.822.9
Auto
Teleop
End